Beat The
Book
With Data
TychoStats uses a multi-factor Elo model โ pitcher adjustments, hitting splits, bullpen fatigue, park factors and Vegas odds โ to find value the public is missing.
Game Picks
Finds Value
Every pick is generated by a quantitative model that processes dozens of data points updated daily from live sports APIs and Vegas sportsbooks.
Model Runs
Elo ratings, pitcher adjustments, bullpen fatigue and hitting splits are recalculated every morning using live MLB API data.
Vegas Compare
Model probabilities are compared against FanDuel, DraftKings and BetMGM implied odds. Value signals are flagged automatically.
Picks Posted
High-confidence picks with value edges of 5%+ are published each morning before first pitch with full model reasoning shown.
Coming Soon
TychoStats is built to expand. The same data-driven approach that powers our MLB model will be applied to NFL and NBA when those seasons begin.
Cancel anytime. No hidden fees. Stats updated daily throughout the season.
- Yesterday's results
- Weekly model summary
- Power rankings (top 10)
- 2 free picks per week
- Today's full slate picks
- O/U value signals
- Run line predictions
- Everything in Free
- Full daily picks slate
- Moneyline value signals
- O/U predictions
- Power rankings all 30 teams
- Pitcher start tier system
- Run line picks
- Early access (6am)
- Everything in Picks Member
- Run line value picks
- Early access 6am picks
- Full model breakdown
- Bullpen fatigue reports
- Hitting splits analysis
- High confidence record tracking