MLB · NFL · COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Tycho is a quantitative prediction model covering three sports — built to help serious bettors spot value, understand the numbers, and make smarter decisions every single week.
Forget overpriced cappers selling recycled picks. Real edge doesn't come from chasing someone else's "secret sauce" — it comes from having the right data, understanding the model, and making consistent, disciplined decisions.
Tycho gives you quantitative predictions across MLB, NFL, and College Football. Win probabilities, spread projections, O/U signals, and value flags — all generated by the same data-driven framework used to evaluate every game.
You're not buying picks. You're building an edge.
THE TYCHO MODEL
Every sport runs through its own dedicated model — built around the statistics that actually drive outcomes, not the ones that look good on a box score.
Multi-factor Elo ratings updated daily. Starting pitcher ERA/WHIP/K adjustments, bullpen fatigue tracking, park factors, and L/R hitting splits feed every game prediction.
EPA-based offense and defense ratings — garbage-time adjusted, opponent-adjusted. Run game is weighted as the primary indicator on both sides of the ball.
PPA (Predicted Points Added) — the college football equivalent of EPA. Standard downs weight run game; passing downs weight pass efficiency. Larger home field built in.
PROVEN RESULTS
NFL and CFB accuracy tracking begins with the 2026 seasons. All predictions are generated before game time and logged for transparency.
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